Wealth Building Over Time
Not a representation of any actual investment result or what you can achieve

How Fast Will Money Double?

  
How Much Will $10,000 Grow to

BUT Investment Return Does

Not Equal Average Return

The most common method of projecting future retirement values of portfolios is using an average annual return analysis.  But this is an illusion of stability since returns vary greatly year-by-year.  The timing of returns and especially losses result in a very different result than just an average annual return.  We make no representations of any potential investment returns, simply show the importance of timing using hypothetical returns. This is not a representation of any actual investment result or what you can achieve.

Timing Risk
If you suffer a bear market loss of 30%, how much do you have to gain to make up for the 30% loss? Most people might falsely think 30%.  No, you have to gain 43% just to break-even after a 30% loss!  The sequence of investment returns can make a huge difference in how large your nest egg might really turn out to be. For many years my emphasis has been analyzing the historic downside risk of an investment portfolio vs. the historic returns compared to other investment alternatives.  You cannot avoid downside risk, but it can be analyzed based on historic performance.  We make no assurances of any investment result, or that risk reduction techniques will be successful.

 Example: Hypothetical 5% average return is better than 20% - If you are saving $10,000/year
 

                                                  Not a representation of any actual investment result or what you can achieve

A 5% average return ended up with a greater value than two of the 12% average return scenarios did. A 20% average ended up with a lower value than any of the 12% scenarios and less than the 5% average return scenario.

Example shown is hypothetical and does not represent any particular investment.

Source of table and results: FinancialPlanauditors.com, Industry White Paper.  Excerpts of article with full credit, being shared under the Fair Use provision of the U.S. Copyright law for educational purposes.

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Last updated 5/7/2008